NHC says 40% chance of cyclone over southwestern Gulf of Mexico

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NHC says 40% chance of cyclone over southwestern Gulf of Mexico

South Mississippi could see some rain this week from a tropical disturbance now stewing in the Bay of Campeche.

The National Hurrican Center has stated that the southern Bay of Campeche does not have well-defined circulation. Currently, the National Hurricane Center gives this area a 60 percent chance of forming into a tropical storm.

Here's the setup: moisture from the Gulf of Mexico continues to surge in from the south all while an upper-level disturbance approaches from the west.

Stratton said the storm is expected to track northwest, then northeast along the Texas coast or northwestern Gulf. The NHC is now giving the disturbance a 40% chance of tropical development.

The system could briefly become a tropical depression before moving inland over northeastern Mexico later on Tuesday, the Miami-based weather forecaster added.

Monday's forecast calls for severe weather in the Plains, from South Dakota down to Texas, with hail and damaging winds the biggest threats.

Hurricane season 2019 runs from June 1 to November 30, this year presented the following names: Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dorian, Erin, Fernand, Gabrielle, Humberto, Imelda, Jerry, Karen, Lorenzo, Melissa, Nestor, Olga, Pablo, Rebekah, Sebastien, Tanya, van and Wendy.

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