If maximum sustained winds strengthen to 39 to 73 miles per hour, the system becomes a tropical storm. As this disturbance approaches the warm gulf it is expected to develop into a low pressure.
"We're all used to seeing those tropical waves coming off the coast of Africa, and we've got lots of time to watch it", Feltgen says.
Jul. 8-There's a potential tropical system brewing for Gulf Coast states and it was already bringing heavy rains to South Florida on Monday. The only areas not included in the advisory is for parts of East Alabama where rain chances are more likely to occur. The city has 118 of its 120 pumps "available", the news release notes.
Atmospheric conditions are favorable for it to acquire a circulation and develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm. But again, there is uncertainty involved with the tropical system right now, and the forecast could change.
As of 2 p.m. Monday, the NHC said there is an 80-percent chance of a tropical cyclone formation during the next five days.
Regardless of development, this low pressure system has the potential to produce heavy rainfall along portions of the northern and eastern U.S. Gulf Coast later this week.
Following the European model the system looks to make landfall near the TX-LA border as a strong tropical storm or category 1 hurricane sometime Saturday afternoon/evening.
"We encourage all residents of North and Central Florida to prepare for the possibility of heavy rain and the potential for flooding in low-lying areas". Isolated tornadoes and rip currents are also likely. Rain chances will begin today for Florida, Georgia & Alabama then shift west into Mississippi & Louisiana by Wednesday followed by a continued west movement of precipitation into Texas by the weekend.