If the area of low pressure becomes a tropical storm, it would be named Michael. Storms that form late in the season historically come from the west -including the western Caribbean, Bay of Campeche and the southern Gulf of Mexico. If the system were to reach tropical storm intensity, it would take the name Micheal.
The system is producing showers and thunderstorms from Central America across the Western Caribbean. As of Saturday morning, the probabilities of cyclone formation were at 80 percent through Monday morning, and 90 percent over the next five days.
At this time, tropical development or not, this is not an immediate concern for Texas. While not now a significant threat to the United States, there is growing interest in what happens to this potential development when it moves into the Gulf of Mexico early next week. At the very least, the Florida Peninsula could expect breezy conditions, increased rain chances and the potential for localized flooding. Temperatures will be consistent with highs in the upper 80s and lows in the upper 70s, according to the National Weather Service. The counterclockwise flow around that system will pull deep tropical moisture around it as it approaches Florida mid week. "Oil rigs would want to start evacuating Tuesday".