New tropical storm soon? Hurricane center watching area near Bahamas

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New tropical storm soon? Hurricane center watching area near Bahamas

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a disturbance in the Atlantic with a 60 percent chance of developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm in the next two days and a 70 percent chance in the next five.

Now located roughly 150 miles northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands, the disturbance, referred to by the NHC as 99L, has organized since yesterday, becoming better defined and producing more rain.

This system will begin to turn more to the north on Sunday east of the U.S. That is because it will be sandwiched between the western periphery of high pressure in the central Atlantic and an incoming cold front across the eastern U.S.

Somewhat favorable conditions should allow the system to strengthen as it moves northward.

In an advisory issued at 10 p.m. Saturday, the hurricane center said the tropical depression is heading northwest around 13 miles per hour, blowing maximum sustained winds near 35 miles per hour with higher gusts.

But where will it go?

Forecast models put the storm on a northwest path toward the US but then curve it away from the USA without reaching the coast. The hurricane center's forecast does the same.

Even if the storm attempts to graze the Outer Banks of North Carolina with rain later on Monday, it is expected to get swept off to the northeast and absorbed by a non-tropical system on Tuesday.

The next name on the list is Gert.

The Atlantic has had six named storms, including one hurricane (Franklin), so far this year.

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